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End of day summary - 03/07
The Dow fell 200.23, or 0.78%, to 25,473.23 , the Nasdaq lost 84.46, or 1.13%, to 7,421.46 , and the S&P 500 declined 22.52, or 0.81%, to 2,748.93. The S&P 500 lost 0.8% on Thursday, as a negative economic outlook from the European Central Bank (ECB) helped fuel growth concerns and profit-taking interest. Thursday's risk-off mindset was made apparent by the underperformance of cyclical sectors and the flight-to-safety trade in the U.S. Treasury market where the 10-yr yield dropped six basis points to 2.64%. There was little in the way of a catalyst, so stocks continued to endure their worst weekly performance of the year. The Dow and S&P finished lower for the seventh time in the past eight days. Investors may have been looking forward to tomorrow’s monthly jobs data, but they are also growing weary waiting for news on the trade talks with China despite the next scheduled meeting not occurring until the end of the month. A technical violation of the S&P 500's and Nasdaq Composite's 200-day moving averages also contributed to some selling interest; both closed below that key technical level. 10 of the 11 S&P 500 sectors finished lower with consumer discretionary (-1.4%), financials (-1.1%), and information technology (-0.9%) leading the retreat. Conversely, the utilities sector (+0.3%) was the lone group to finish higher. In the U.S., initial jobless claims fell 3,000 to 223,000 in the week ended March 2. Q4 productivity grew at a 1.9% pace, which was a little firmer than expected. In Trump news, CNBC reported that Michael Cohen, former lawyer and fixer for U.S. President Donald Trump, has filed a lawsuit against the Trump Organization, alleging his former company has filed to pay "fees and costs" owed to him. TSLA was in focus following two separate reports, including one from CNBC saying that securities lawyers are claiming that CEO Elon Musk could face large fines and potential suspension as CEO for recent activity on Twitter that federal authorities said violated his September 29 agreement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. In addition, Bloomberg reported that the Pentagon is reviewing Musk's federal security clearance after he smoked marijuana on Joe Rogan's podcast in September. TSLA shares gained AH after a new filing showed a loan worth around $500M for use in China. AGN said a new experimental treatment for major depression failed in three late-stage studies, and the drugmaker added that it was "deeply disappointed" in the results. David Tepper's Appaloosa hedge fund, which has been pressuring the board of Allergan for changes, said "this latest fiasco" should "make apparent to all that the company's 'Open Science' business model is broken." Shares of Allergan closed 4% higher. Meanwhile, Reuters reported that the SEC is investigating whether the multi-tiered pricing system used by stock exchanges, including Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) and Nasdaq (NDAQ), favors big brokers at the expense of smaller ones. In Europe, the ECB held its key interest rates unchanged and said it now expects the key rates to remain at their present levels at least through the end of 2019, which is later than its prior guidance for no change until at least this summer. The ECB also said a new series of quarterly targeted longer-term refinancing operations, or "TLTRO-III," will be launched, starting in September 2019 and ending in March 2021, that "will help to preserve favorable bank lending conditions and the smooth transmission of monetary policy." The timing served as a reinforcement of the concern that the global economy is weakening and that the U.S. market has gotten ahead of itself pricing in a more upbeat growth outlook that isn't being corroborated with falling earnings estimates. Among the noteworthy gainers was YEXT, which rose 10% after it reported quarterly results and said it plans to hire over 200 employees in Germany over the next five years. Also higher after reporting quarterly results was GWRE, which gained 4%. Among the notable losers was WBA which fell 2.1% on concerns over potential increased regulatory pressures after the Food and Drug Administration called the company the top violator among pharmacies illegally selling tobacco products to minors. Among the notable losers after reporting quarterly results were TWI and BURL, which fell 22% and 12%, respectively. Also lower was KR, which fell 10% after the grocery store operator reported worse than expected sales and profits for the fourth quarter and gave lower than expected fiscal year guidance. Shares in Asia were mixed on Thursday following a third consecutive day of losses on Wall Street as investors sought developments on the state of U.S.-China trade negotiations. Meanwhile, U.S. tensions with China reached new heights as Chinese tech giant Huawei filed a lawsuit against the U.S. on Thursday. European stocks retreated, with the Stoxx Europe 600 down 0.4%.
The euro fell sharply against the dollar Thursday after the European Central Bank (ECB) unveiled a series of market-friendly policies amid a slew of rising risks.
EUUSD: -1.1% to 1.1184
GBP/USD: -0.7% to 1.3074
USD/CNH: +0.3% to 6.7340
USD/JPY: -0.2% to 111.57
U.S. Treasuries saw a continuation of their recent strength on Thursday, registering solid gains across the curve. Treasuries started the cash session on a modestly higher note and accelerated their advance after the European Central Bank released a dovish statement, which served as an acknowledgement of slowing growth in the eurozone. It was not a surprise that the ECB made no changes to its interest rate corridor, but the central bank also said that it intends to keep rates at their current levels throughout 2019, which is about three months longer than what was stated in its previous guidance.
2-yr: -5 bps to 2.46%
3-yr: -6 bps to 2.44%
5-yr: -6 bps to 2.44%
10-yr: -6 bps to 2.64%
30-yr: -5 bps to 3.03%
Oil prices rose in choppy trade on Thursday, as the market continues to draw support from ongoing OPEC-led supply cuts and U.S. sanctions against exporters Venezuela and Iran.
Metals Settlement Prices:
Apr gold settled today's session $1.20 lower (-0.1%) at $1286.35/oz
Mar silver settled today's session $0.05 lower at $15.04/oz
Mar copper settled $0.01 lower (-0.3%) at $2.91/lb
Agriculture Settlement Prices:
May corn settled $0.07 lower (-1.9%) at $3.65/bushel
May wheat settled $0.12 lower (-2.7%) at $4.38/bushel
May soybeans settled $0.12 lower (-1.3%) at $9.02/bushel
Energy Settlement Prices:
Apr crude oil futures rose $0.36 (+0.6%) to $56.61/barrel
Apr natural gas settled $0.03 higher (+1.1%) at $2.87/MMBtu
Mar RBOB gasoline settled $0.01 higher (+0.6%) at $1.80/gallon
Mar heating oil futures settled $0.01 lower (-0.5%) at $2.01/gallon
Cryptocurrency markets have recorded moderate gains and losses on the day, with Binance Coin (BNB) being the major gainer on the day. The leading cryptocurrency Bitcoin (BTC) started the day around $3,901, subsequently reaching its intraday high of $3,938.
Bitcoin: $3,928.99 (24hr: +0.68%)
Ethereum: $138.84 (24hr: +0.38%)
Ripple: $0.31 (24hr: -0.54%)
Russell +13.0% YTD
Nasdaq +11.9% YTD
Spoos +9.7% YTD
Dow +9.2% YTD
COST Q2 Rev $35.40Bln Est 35.68Bln, Q2 EPS $2.01 vs $1.69 exp. Up 4%
EB Q4 EPS $(0.17) Misses $(0.13) Estimate. Down 20%
investors will receive the Employment Situation Report for February and the Housing Starts and Building Permits Report for January on Friday. Summaryscrapedfromtheinterweb.Took0.18seconds.
The Dow fell 724.42, or 2.94%, to 23,957.89, the Nasdaq lost 178.61, or 2.43%, to 7,166.68, and the S&P 500 declined 68.24, or 2.52%, to 2,643.69. Stocks tumbled on Thursday as a slew of leery headlines left buyers on the sidelines. The S&P 500 lost 2.5%, dropping into negative territory for the year (-1.1%) and extending its week-to-date decline to 3.9%, while the Nasdaq and the Dow tumbled 2.4% and 2.9%, respectively. There was little doubt as to where the market was headed at Thursday's opening bell, as equity futures were down big in overnight trading. There wasn't a particular catalyst for the negative disposition, but disappointing PMI readings in the eurozone and Japan, an unsatisfying apology from FB CEO Mark Zuckerberg regarding the Cambridge Analytica data breach, and Wednesday's rate hike from the Fed didn't exactly bode well for investor sentiment. The biggest headline catalyst, however, was President Trump's decision to impose tariffs of up to $60 billion on Chinese imports; Mr. Trump officially signed a presidential memorandum on Thursday afternoon. However, the decision wasn't a surprise -- Reuters first reported the president's desire to punish China for intellectual property theft via tariffs last week -- and actually had a silver lining considering the tariffs will only be implemented after a consultation period. Still, the duties do give new energy to the trade war debate. Selling picked up notably in the final hour of the session, with the S&P 500 nearly doubling its earlier loss. The financial sector led the retreat, dropping 3.7%, as Treasury yields tumbled across the curve; the benchmark 10-yr yield declined eight basis points to 2.83%, while the 2-yr yield slid three basis points to 2.28%. The industrial sector (-3.3%) also showed notable weakness, while most of the remaining groups finished with losses of more than 2.0%. The most influential sector, information technology, declined 2.7% -- a discouraging sign for investors who have looked to the sector for leadership; the tech group led last year's rally and is still the top-performing sector of 2018 despite Thursday's slide, up 4.3% year to date. Among the noteworthy gainers was P, which rose 7.8% after Raymond James analyst upgraded the stock two notches to Strong Buy from Market Perform, saying he is positive on Pandora's acquisition of AdsWizz. Among the notable losers was ACN, tumbling 7.3%, despite beating earnings and revenue estimates for its fiscal second quarter and raising its guidance for the fiscal year. Elsewhere, the major stock indices in Europe ended on a lower note, closing at their worst marks of the day; Germany's DAX dropeed 1.790 while UK's FTSE dropped 1.23%. European financials had a woeful showing today, but most notably, DB —the owner of the world's largest derivatives book—slumped to its lowest level since late 2016. In the Asia-Pacific region, equity indices had a mixed outing with Japan's Nikkei (+0.99%) showing relative strength.
The U.S. Dollar Index is up 0.1% at 89.87, clawing back above its 50-day moving average (89.86), which has been an area of congestion over the past few weeks. The yen rose on Thursday, reaching a three-week peak against the dollar, as traders piled into the Japanese currency in a safe-haven move spurred by global trade tension and losses in stocks.
EUUSD: -0.28% to 1.2304
GBP/USD: -0.21% to 1.4108
USD/CAD: -0.03% to 1.2899
U.S. Treasuries ended Thursday on a higher note with 10s showing relative strength while 2s underperformed. Recall that Treasuries climbed into yesterday's close while 2-yr and 5-yr note futures continued rising after the cash session ended. The 10-year Treasury yield fell more than 8 basis points to 2.82 percent, its biggest one-day decline since September of last year. It dropped as low as 2.79 percent at one point.
2-yr: -3 bps to 2.28%
5-yr: -7 bps to 2.63%
10-yr: -8 bps to 2.83%
30-yr: -6 bps to 3.07%
Oil prices fell on Thursday as investors booked profits after this week's rally, but losses were limited by the continuing efforts of OPEC and its allies to curb supplies.
Mar WTI crude oil futures settled -$0.86 at $64.30/barrel on the day
In other energy, Mar natural gas settled -$0.02 at $2.62/MMBtu
Apr gold settled +$6.00 at $1327.60/oz, while Mar silver settled -$0.02 to $16.40/oz
Mar copper settled -$0.04 at $3.02/lb
Hogs: -2.27% to 75.475s
Beans: unchanged to 1029-6s
Bitcoin sank 4.4 percent to $8,506 on Thursday after Japan’s Financial Services Agency was said to be planning to tell Binance, the trading venue founded by Zhao Changpeng, to stop operating in the country without a license.
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